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Arc research registers

Fixed version 2 · 16 September 2026. Results cover the stated common trading window unless a wider source view or follow-up period is named. An unavailable measure keeps its limit even when supporting files are linked.

All planned research questions

All 61 planned measures: 18 measured, 25 partial, 18 unavailable.
QuestionStateScope or limitResult CSV
Q01a Exact change split.measuredAdjacent complete hours; counts and arithmetic exact within the saved set.hour-change
Q01b Activity intensity.measuredAll swaps have one trader; address–transaction pairs equal transaction count here.intensity · transaction-routing
Q01c Pool turnover versus trader exchange.partialMulti-execution counts measured. Full route net exchanges not reconstructed.transaction-routing
Q02a Largest-token exclusion.measuredMapped token sets only; excludes every swap touching the selected token.largest-token-exclusion · origin-turnover
Q02b Largest-address exclusion.measuredExclusive address/pool groups; addresses are not people.origin-wallet-stress · trader-summary · pool-concentration
Q02c Breadth.partialUnknown-creator tokens remain outside non-creator measures; quiet means no observed cube record.launch-cohort-summary
Q02d Concentration-equivalent count.measuredExclusive address/pool groups; addresses are not people.origin-wallet-stress · trader-summary · pool-concentration
Q03a Opening versus later turnover.measuredNew launches only; launch transaction and later blocks kept separate.launch-phase-trading
Q03b First-hour persistence.measuredComplete 60-minute cohorts; opening and late values retained, zero opening denominator has no rate.first-hour-tokens · launch-persistence-detail
Q03c Quiet-period share.partialUnknown-creator tokens remain outside non-creator measures; quiet means no observed cube record.launch-cohort-summary
Q03d Demand after launch.partialUnknown-creator tokens remain outside non-creator measures; quiet means no observed cube record.launch-cohort-summary
Q04a Launch funnel.partialNested known-creator funnel; time to first/fifth buyer measured, seller-stage timing not supplied.launch-cohort-summary · funnel-stage-times
Q04b Time to each stage.partialNested known-creator funnel; time to first/fifth buyer measured, seller-stage timing not supplied.launch-cohort-summary · funnel-stage-times
Q04c Launch cost and demand.partialNetwork fee for launch transaction known; payer may differ from creator; pool/hook fees not included.launch-cost-demand
Q05a All verified tokens versus new launches.partialSaved mapped token sets, not all platform history; separate volume, median and breadth comparisons.origin-turnover · launch-cohort-summary · largest-token-exclusion
Q05b Equal-age token outcomes.partialComplete cohorts with zeros; non-creator distribution can be read only for known-creator tokens.first-hour-tokens · launch-cohort-summary
Q05c Launch-time comparison.measuredShared 30-minute launch buckets, sample counts retained; no causal or pooled adjusted rank.launch-time-outcomes
Q05d Typical result and reach.partialSaved mapped token sets, not all platform history; separate volume, median and breadth comparisons.origin-turnover · launch-cohort-summary · largest-token-exclusion
Q06a Return within 15 or 60 minutes.measuredFixed follow-up, second transaction required; first observation is not first-ever use.returns-summary · trader-summary
Q06b Later-interval return.measuredFixed follow-up, second transaction required; first observation is not first-ever use.returns-summary · trader-summary
Q06c Time to second transaction.measuredFixed follow-up, second transaction required; first observation is not first-ever use.returns-summary · trader-summary
Q06d Same token or exploration.partialBase-token next-visit split measured; launchpad path uses its separate known-platform cohort.return-exploration · platform-path-summary
Q07a Audience overlap.measuredMapped token sets only; directional and union-denominator overlap supplied.launchpad-audience-overlap
Q07b Next-platform path.partialUnambiguous known-platform visits; unknown/unattributed activity outside path definition.platform-path-summary
Q07c Activity after the move.partialPaired destination-minus-source USDC turnover in the same next 30 minutes. Only executions assigned to that source count; unrelated route turnover and transactions touching several named sources are excluded. Time windows can overlap; not a causal effect.post-move-address-values
Q08a Creator-address activity.partialKnown creator address only; quoted cash flow excludes transfers, starting inventory and fee income.creator-trading · creator-cash-flow
Q08b Entry-time groups.partialFixed 30-minute follow-up; pooled groups have different token mixes. No early-entry advantage inferred.entry-summary · entry-cohorts
Q08c Entry-linked outcome.unavailablePool price paths are available, but entry-specific fresh marks and verified cost/inventory are not.selected-pool-price-summary
Q08d Creator token movements.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q09a Observed selling after buying.measuredLater sell transaction, not matched inventory. Buy/sell in the first transaction does not count as a later sale.observed-exits-summary
Q09b Markets with two-way activity.partialFirst-hour known-creator buyer/seller counts; full all-platform curve trading unavailable.first-hour-tokens · launch-cohort-summary
Q09c Matched-inventory exit.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q09d Failed sell attempts.unavailableFailed transaction intent not decoded reliably; chain failure rate is not failed-sell rate.chain-common
Q10a Eligible outcome distribution.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q10b Gains and losses by address.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q10c Cost burden.partialNetwork fee once per transaction. Ratio uses pool turnover, not reconstructed net exchange; tiny denominators can make it very large.network-trade-cost-summary
Q10d Fee recipient breakdown.unavailablePaid, accrued and claimed platform/creator/liquidity fees not reconciled. Creator sales are not fee receipts.creator-cash-flow
Q11a Observed execution size.partialUSDC execution-size distributions measured; trade gaps supplied only for five selected pools.execution-sizes · selected-pool-trade-gaps
Q11b Standard-size quote tests.unavailableHistorical per-pool state, dynamic fee and hook behavior not reproduced; volume does not establish depth.selected-pool-price-summary
Q11c Depth within a stated price impact.unavailableHistorical per-pool state, dynamic fee and hook behavior not reproduced; volume does not establish depth.selected-pool-price-summary
Q11d Liquidity change.unavailableHistorical per-pool state, dynamic fee and hook behavior not reproduced; volume does not establish depth.selected-pool-price-summary
Q12a Buyer and seller breadth.measuredAddress counts cover all captured quote assets per base token; value fields cover USDC quotes only. Repeat status uses all quotes. Counts across tokens overlap; see field-scope notes before forming per-buyer ratios.buyer-seller-breadth · buyer-seller-breadth-scope
Q12b Directional activity.measuredDirectional value ratio uses USDC-quoted buys and sells only; it is null when their sum is zero. It does not measure changes in token holdings.buyer-seller-breadth · buyer-seller-breadth-scope
Q12c Holder change and concentration.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q12d Quantity retained by purchase cohorts.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q13a Boundary inflow and outflow.unavailableBridge/boundary mappings and native/ERC-20 overlap not resolved. Gross transfers remain separate views.No supported result
Q13b Funded-address conversion.unavailableCaptured transfer aggregates do not supply validated complete address-level receipt cohorts or funding paths. No conversion/funder rank inferred.No supported result
Q13c Funds remaining with recipients.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q13d Funding-source concentration.unavailableCaptured transfer aggregates do not supply validated complete address-level receipt cohorts or funding paths. No conversion/funder rank inferred.No supported result
Q14a Fast-repeat share.measuredSuccessive address transactions, one-second timestamps; same-block and 1/5/30-second thresholds.fast-repeat-summary
Q14b Matched short cycles.unavailableComplete opening balances, initial allocations, transfers and acquisition costs have not passed validation; no inventory or profit claim.observed-exits-summary
Q14c Pattern overlap and sensitivity.partialNested timing-threshold exclusions supplied; matched cycles not available, so no cross-pattern union claimed.fast-repeat-summary
Q15a Contract-use conversion.unavailableCreation traces lack resulting addresses; later address-specific use cannot be joined.deployment-common
Q15b Deployment mix.partialInternal creation traces and mapped-launch transaction split only; no full token/pool/helper type count.deployment-mix · deployment-common
Q15c Chain activity mix.measuredExclusive transaction groups; unidentified includes protocols outside the captured families.chain-activity-mix
Q15d Peak-period execution.partialBusy/quiet full hours chosen by transaction count before fee comparison; classified trading failures unavailable.busy-quiet-fees
Q16a Coverage strip.partialCommon blocks reconcile; wider gaps and moving Trading floor are explicit; full indexing completeness not established.final-audit
Q16b Decode coverage.partialKnown event sets and receipt samples only; one-minute raw/cube mismatch retained.final-audit
Q16c Quote and identity coverage.measuredUSDC support, missing base quantities, positive reference-USD and trader identity counts explicit.trading-overview · cube-base-missing · address-identity-audit
Q16d Ranking scope.partialRanking covers mapped observed sets; unknown factories and unparsed curve trades can change full-platform ranks.origin-turnover
Q16e Claim audit status.partialSaved-count and join checks pass; three reference-USD and three sub-cent USDC quantity comparisons differ and remain unresolved.final-audit

Launchpad coverage register

55 names screened; counts cover mapped events in the common window. Empty coverage does not mean zero platform use.
LaunchpadEvidence stateMapped new tokensLimit
FliptMapped token set; sample checks passed227Creator known; curve trading coverage unverified
SharcMapped token set; sample checks passed24Creator known; curve trading coverage unverified
AkaMapped token set; sample checks passed28Creator known
ArcPadMapped token set; sample checks passed59Creator known
BozoMapped token set; sample checks passed58Creator known
MinaraMapped token set; sample checks passed1,395Creator known
ArgusMapped token set; sample checks passed31Creator unknown or partial
RadarDEXMapped token set; sample checks passed191Creator known
TollyMapped token set; sample checks passed813Creator known
WarpMapped token set; sample checks passed90Creator unknown or partial; curve trading coverage unverified
ArchemistMapped token set; sample checks passed12V2 set only; newer V4 has 41 event candidates, unranked
PEGDMapped token set; sample checks passed10Creator unknown or partial
KlikMapped token set; sample checks passed5Creator unknown or partial; curve trading coverage unverified
o1.exchangeMapped token set; sample checks passed952Creator unknown or partial; exact launch ABI remains provisional
DYORMapped token set; sample checks passed62Creator unknown or partial
ACTFUNMapped token set; sample checks passed16Creator known; curve trading coverage unverified
EllipseMapped token set; sample checks passed3Creator unknown or partial
EveReceipt evidence; full token binding incompleteUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
UBIMapped token set; sample checks passed11Creator known
Ayoo.clubMapped token set; sample checks passed9Creator unknown or partial; curve trading coverage unverified
Dagg.funMapped token set; sample checks passed5Creator known
BasedpadReceipt evidence; full token binding incompleteUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
long.supplyMapped token set; sample checks passed90Creator known
SynthraThird-party contract label; chain events foundUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
LotusThird-party contract label; chain events foundUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
OnmiPublished contract; no event in probeUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
SashimiPublished contract; no event in probeUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
ArcerPublished contract; no event in probeUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
NebulaPadHeld out: sample lacked matching token mintUnknownNo trading rank
ArcToolsPadMapped token set; sample checks passed2Creator known
CuspMapped token set; sample checks passed2Creator known
lpTOKEN.funPublished contract; no event in probeUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
FlutchSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
Arcfun.appSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
PeachSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
FazeSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
Berth ClubSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
ArcadeSwapSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
ZyoraSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
CamboPublished contract; no event in probeUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
VORTSite found; mainnet contract gapUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
LiftName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
TrenchName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
BlopName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
ArcOriginName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
NoxaName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
PUMP.archiName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
pools.tradeName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
VOLTName or access-limited leadUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
FociOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
LolpadOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
duude.funOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
NoxaraOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
TrenchyOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison
LiftpadOutside mainnet comparisonUnknownNo full-window token-set comparison

launchpad-coverage-public CSV

Full result catalogue

Full result tables; field definitions and hashes are available in the evidence guide.
Saved resultRowsDownload
address-identity-audit1CSV
busy-quiet-fees2CSV
buyer-seller-breadth-scope1CSV
buyer-seller-breadth14,450CSV (gzip)
chain-activity-mix4CSV
chain-common1CSV
chain-hourly10CSV
creator-cash-flow13CSV
creator-launch-counts1,461CSV
creator-trading1,376CSV (gzip)
cube-base-missing1CSV
deployment-common1CSV
deployment-hourly10CSV
deployment-mix2CSV
deployment-summary1CSV
deployment-top-creators30CSV
economic-usdc-overview1CSV
entry-cohorts197,942CSV (gzip)
entry-summary72CSV
execution-sizes2CSV
fast-repeat-summary4CSV
final-audit1CSV
final-hour-local-seal4CSV
final-hour-quote-comparison48CSV
final-hour-quote-local48CSV
first-hour-tokens25,919CSV (gzip)
funnel-stage-times1,942CSV
hour-change1CSV
hourly-trading8CSV
intensity1CSV
largest-token-exclusion22CSV
launch-cohort-summary27CSV
launch-cost-demand32,100CSV (gzip)
launch-coverage28CSV
launch-first-30m28,553CSV (gzip)
launch-half-hour-cohorts232CSV
launch-persistence-detail25,919CSV (gzip)
launch-phase-trading41CSV
launch-time-outcomes232CSV
launches-common27CSV
launchpad-audience-overlap462CSV
network-fee-distribution1CSV
network-trade-cost-summary1CSV
observed-exits-summary2CSV
origin-turnover23CSV
origin-wallet-stress23CSV
original-pool-trading27CSV
platform-path-summary141CSV
pool-concentration1CSV
pools16,097CSV (gzip)
post-move-address-values9,057CSV (gzip)
protocols4CSV
quarter-hour-trading31CSV
quote-assets61CSV
return-exploration3CSV
returns-summary4CSV
same-denomination-swaps1CSV
same-usdc-by-hour8CSV
same-usdc-by-origin1CSV
same-usdc-by-protocol1CSV
selected-pool-price-paths5CSV
selected-pool-price-summary5CSV
selected-pool-trade-gaps5CSV
tokens14,450CSV (gzip)
top-origin-tokens10,233CSV (gzip)
top-token-display20CSV
trade-size1CSV
trader-summary1CSV
trading-overview1CSV
transaction-routing1CSV
v2-correction-audit1CSV
creation-grain-check2CSV
launchpad-coverage-public55CSV
snapshot-seal-checks1CSV
source-audit1CSV
transfer-common3CSV
transfer-key-check3CSV